I published an article on StockCharts that covers off the basics of this setup. I’ve included the text of that article here. But keep reading, there are more ideas below.
It has been the oddest of circumstances. The pressure on the oil supply has been immense, but the oil stocks just couldn’t break out. It what has been the most bullish of backdrops, it seemed unfathomable that the oil names weren’t going higher. The recent 25% drop in oil stocks was vicious. Drillers like PDS, PD.TO fell 12% in one day.
But as the market formed a hammer candle on Monday, the last two days showed some tremendous enthusiasm to move back into the oil trade. Breakouts galore came in after the fed announcement.
Check out this example of Exxon Mobil (XOM) breaking out.
The XLE is a broad group of energy stocks. Exxon Mobil and Chevron are the big boys in the ETF at almost 1/2 of the holdings it is still representative of the broader sector.
One of the keys to buying near the lows is to identify the sectors and industries breaking out. This looks like a great place to start.
Here is a PDF of all the energy names hitting new highs today. It was by far the biggest sector breaking out. Please scan through here. There appears to be some big opportunities right here.
Energy Names Hitting New HighsThere are many more just below the breakout level as well. Since Monday, the sector has lit up.
Good trading,
Greg Schnell, CMT, MFTA